Friday, August 22, 2008

Shanghai and the new China

I had a chance to visit Shanghai this week on business for the first time since my last trip their about 8 years ago. Wow! Things have changed a lot, like this bar in the Bund called Rouge. Prices were at least as high, if not worse than Hong Kong's trendiest establishments. 


But make no mistake. This is China. The government rules. From the office, I couldn't even view RealClearPolitics.com, which is just an aggregator of other basic news and blogs from the US. But at least they had Starbucks, so my coffee was OK. 
Here are a few more nighttime shots form my cell phone: 
Shanghai is the forefront of the new China. What is amazing about all this, is that it is Capitalism and Entrepreneurship that has unleashed this growth, almost in spite of one party government. This to me shows the power of free markets even over the most entrenched vested interests. 

There is a lot of hot money. The RMB is now 6.8, vs. 7.8 HKD to the US dollar. That's probably as much as sign of dollar weakness over China strenght, but at the end of the day a cup of joe at Starbucks is cheaper in Hong Kong than in Shanghai, and that's saying something. 

As for the Olympics? Well it is everywhere. Even at a business lunch on Thursday a replay of the US/China pairs women's beach volleyball was playing (why is it that sport is so easy to watch?!?) The US won! But amazing that at a business lunch, that's what we did - watch the Olympics. 

One more thing - at immigration, there was a little panel where you could rate the service quality of the immigration officer (very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, took to long, poor or something like that). I've never seen that anywhere, much less China. I suspect that those with the best scores become heros of the Socialist motherland, and the the low scores are simply executed and the family has to pay for the bullet. . .I hope I am wrong on the latter, but it was nice to know that my opinion is solicited. 

And by the way, the Westin hotel was awesome and all the female staff were total babes. On that score China is scoring high, just like golds in the Olympics! 

Great trip - and I'll be back. 

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Commentary Catch-Up

Where to begin! Lots has been going on in the news recently and it is time to comment on the latest. Let's start with China. 

The Olympics got off to a great start, and China's coming out party started well. However, recent revelations have tainted the luster: lip-synching the national anthem, fake photography, possibly underage gymnasts. All of that is an affront to the Olympic spirit, which is as much about the journey to participate as winning. I've seen one apologist go so far as to state that truth is less important than the outcome in China. That may well be the case, but it doesn't make it right. Prediction: China will take the most gold medals, but probably will not take the most total medals. 

Georgia: What the f***! Russia's criminal invasion is best compared with Iraq's invasion of Kuwait. Or perhaps, what was it again, ah yes: the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Or perhaps even all of Eastern Europe after WWII. Responsible nations need to step up and punish Russia for this - and yes that means all of Europe. Expect to see more deals like US missiles in Poland. Expect to see the left blame US-Poland cooperation for further Russian aggression. 

Solzhenitsyn: RIP. Read his Nobel lecture. He speaks on the importance of Truth with a capital T. It is very relevant to the previous 2 topics. 

US Election campaign: McCain looking responsible. Obama looking like the wrong nominee. Polls neck and neck. Things won't really pick up until after the conventions, but don't expect things to break anytime soon. It will be a close race. . .and make no mistake, Obama is not moving politically to the middle. That's just a tactic to appear safe to voters outside of his leftist base! 

John Edwards: What a cad. But anyone who didn't see him for the snake-oil salesman that he has always been was dreaming. Why are so many such pretty-boy, smooth-talkers always Democrats? It's because Democrats care more about power than the people they serve. OK, in fairness that is a gross over-generalization. I meant to say "most Democrats." And where was the MSM on this? It must feel pretty bad to be scooped by the Enquirer, and to have the Enquirer come out more credible than, say, the LA Times ! As Instapundit says: what else is the MSM not telling us? 

US Economy - It may very well be in a recession. Certainly calculating real GDP by using the full inflation rate (with commodity prices included) would tend to indicate that the last quarter was a slight contraction. But the US economy is still more resilient than most people give it credit for. The biggest negative impact on job growth was the recent increase in the minimum wage. This has resulted in a huge increase in unemployment for college students and other typical summer workers. Funny how that's not being reported. Also, compared to Japan and Europe, the US is still the engine of global growth. And with commodity prices dropping (especially oil and gold) and the dollar rising, I'd have to say that the worst is over. It won't be reported that way though. The MSM is still trying to get Obama elected. 

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: The problem isn't that they aren't regulated enough. The problem is that they are not fully private and are subject to favorable regulation. 

Oil Drilling: It's simple. Allow drilling off US coasts and in ANWR. Reduce the red-tape that is the primary bottleneck to getting the oil flowing. The major oil companies can get oil out of the ground in less than two years. It's the applications and lawsuits that slow things down, not the technology to get at the oil. And how about Paris Hilton! Her policy to both conserve and drill sounds smarter than Obama's and at least as good as McCain's. Plus she's hot! And somehow I knew she'd be in favor of drilling. 

Iraq - guess what?! We won! By "we" I mean anyone who believes in democracy over dictatorship and that the Arab world can defeat extremism. Let's hope Pakistan doesn't become the next battleground. Oh, and did you know that India has had more terrorist deaths recently than Iraq? That's sad, because India has such potential. 

Venezuela - Chavez is up to his old tricks. Kudos to Colombia though. The FARC is all but finished. 

Global Warming: not in the news so much. That's because it's a myth - well at least the part that human activity is causing it. But be very afraid of the lack of oxygen in the oceans! 

Hong Kong: This place rocks! The Olympic Equestrian events, which are being held here, are going flawlessly. Congratulations HK! 

Anything else? I'm sure there is more. . .but many many bloggers have written more and better posts than me on these topics!

Monday, August 4, 2008

Arrived in Hong Kong!

I am now arrived in Hong Kong and an official resident! Here are a few street scenes from near my new place in Happy Valley, which is near the horse racing track originally set up by the British over 100 years ago. Even today, Hong Kong will be the site of the Olympic Equestrian events due to its long association with all things relating to horses. Notice the campaign posters for the Legco elections next month below the Peking Duck (or whatever it is that this shop sells!) 
Less than a 10 minute walk from my place is the horse track itself. Clearly visible from a park nearby. 
And these apartments look down on the green horse track, and can view the races every Wednesday from their rooms! 
And then nearby is a pub called the Stable. I understand that it just opened. But certainly very comfortable and just what a new resident to Hong Kong needs! 




Saturday, August 2, 2008

Last full day in Japan!

Well this is it! After more than 16 years, today is my last full day as a resident of Japan. Tomorrow, I will turn in my Certificate of Alien Registration as I depart from Narita airport on my way to Hong Kong. 

I had a great send-off farewell party with many friends dropping by Heartland Bar in Roppongi Hills, one of my regular hangouts, from the time I lived near there. A special thanks to the bar manager, Yuki Okada and all the staff there for being part of a great night out. The party moved on to ZeroBar near Roppongi Crossing for a nightcap. 

But today, it's all about packing up stuff, throwing away a lot of items that I do not need and otherwise getting organized for my departure. My new adventure is about to begin!